tag. 1. Macroeconomic overview. 2. Analysis of financial markets (assets: stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities). 3. Main risks. 4. Investment ideas: one conservative and one risky. Additionally, we must include images from the digest and a disclaimer. Steps: 1. Extract the images from the digest and note the context. 2. Generate a clickbait title that highlights a memorable fact and includes a date/timestamp. 3. Write the report in the required sections. Images found in the digest: — https://cdn.finam.ru/images/publications/1904494/00_be77a22d44.png (from the banking sector statistics) — https://cdn.finam.ru/images/publications/1904486/111_baa920e5b7.JPG (from the market opening report) — https://cdn.finam.ru/images/publications/1904483/2_601862f969.jpg (from the MMC analysis) — https://cdn.finam.ru/images/publications/1904483/3_6a22d841b6.jpg (also from MMC, showing NLMK) — https://cdn.finam.ru/images/publications/1904469/1_abbc414914.jpg (from the article on bank stocks) — https://cdn.finam.ru/images/publications/1904479/00_01fc8a7c1a.png (from the market sentiment report) — https://cdn.finam.ru/images/publications/1904460/111_00fd92c9b7.JPG (from the market opening) We’ll structure the HTML with inline styles to make it business-like and readable. Let’s plan the sections: 0. We’ll create a clickbait title. A memorable fact: the potential 200 basis point rate cut by the Central Bank of Russia. Example: «Шок ЦБ РФ: Ставка обрушится до 18% уже в эту пятницу! | cryptomoon.ru» 1. Макроэкономический обзор: — Global and local economic trends: the world markets were mixed, Russian market grew, sanctions from EU and US are not as harsh as feared. — Inflation and interest rates: inflation in Russia has come down to target levels, the business climate indicator fell to a minimum since autumn 2022, and credit growth slowed. — Detailed commentary on events: expectations for the BoR meeting (rate cut of 200 bps), weak economic data, effect of strong ruble. 2. Анализ финансовых рынков: — Stocks: Russian stock market rose last week. Today, MosBirge Index is rising. Leaders: Seligdar, SPB Exchange, etc. Losers: Rossety, RussNeft, etc. Banking sector: Sberbank dropped after dividends but expected to recover. Metals sector: MMC under pressure, Severstal better. Fix Price completed GDR exchange. — Bonds: Significant rally in OFZ, index RGBI up 2.2% last week. Yields dropped. But market might be overbought and correction possible. — Currencies: Ruble strengthened last week but slightly negative on Friday due to EU sanctions. Today, CNYRUB around 10.89. Expected range 10.80-11.00. — Commodities: Oil prices little changed (Brent around $69.3). EU sanctions included lowering oil price cap to $47.6 but assessment is that it’s not too harsh. 3. Основные риски: — Geopolitics: New EU sanctions package (18th), potential secondary sanctions from Trump, but no immediate actions. — Central Bank meeting: Possibility of disappointment if rate cut is only 100 bps, or if the signal is cautious. — Inflation risks: While currently down, pressure from utility tariffs remains, inflation expectations are high. — Oil market: Price volatility due to sanctions and demand concerns. — Overbought bond market. 4. Инвестиционные идеи: — Conservative: Buy OFZ government bonds. Calculations: With the expected rate cut, bond prices may rise further. But note that a correction is possible in the short term, so we recommend buying on dips. Target yield: 2-year OFZ yield dropping to 15% (from current 15.5%) and price rising by 1.5%. — Risky: Buy shares of Severstal. Potential: Due to high EBITDA margin (22% vs MMC’s 12.5%) and possible return of dividends. Risks: Steel price volatility, weak demand, strong ruble. Target price: 1500 rubles (current price around 1200). Disclaimer: We must include that the editorial board of cryptomoon.ru expresses gratitude to the management of T-Bank for the information provided. Now let’s write the HTML.
Центробанк готовится к шоку: Ключевая ставка упадет до 18% в пятницу! 21 июля 2025 | Эксклюзивный анализ показывает: рынок недооценивает масштаб предстоящего смягчения — инфляция падает, экономика стопорится, и ЦБ не оставит выбора. Макроэкономический обзор Глобальные тенденции Мировые рынки демонстрируют разнонаправленную динамику: инвесторы реагируют на сезон отчётности, сильные экономические данные из США и Китая, а … Читать далее